On October 26, 2016 Cook County commissioners voted to raise the minimum wage
within Cook County to $13/hr. by 2020. This is a gradual rise to $13/hr from the current
$8.25/hr. The wage will rise to $10/hr in July 2017, $11/hr a year later then $12/hr in July
2019 and finally to $13/hr in 2020.
within Cook County to $13/hr. by 2020. This is a gradual rise to $13/hr from the current
$8.25/hr. The wage will rise to $10/hr in July 2017, $11/hr a year later then $12/hr in July
2019 and finally to $13/hr in 2020.
Raising the minimum wage has always been a controversial issue. The anti wagers point
to Econ 101 that says if you raise wages the quantity of labor demanded will fall that
would result in unemployment. It is difficult to verify this technical approach to labor
demand as is frequently the case in text book economics.
In fact the opposite is probably true and has been cited by two labor economists David
Card and Alan Krueger, in a comparative study when an individual state raises its
minimum wage and the neighboring state does not. The economists found that contrary to
popular thought there is a positive effect on employment in the state that raised the
minimum wage. Their results have been confirmed using data from many other episodes.
There's just no evidence that raising the minimum wage cost jobs, at least when the
starting point is as low as it is here.
Since Arlington Heights is a home rule municipality it can opt out of the Cook County
ordinance of gradually raising the minimum wage. This would be a mistake for residents
and local businesses alike. At a time when demand is slack especially on the local level a
raise in salary to employees would be a welcome stimulus to the local economy.
On November 7, I addressed the village board on the issue of opting out of the minimum
wage as the text is listed below:
Thank you President Hayes
On October 26th the Cook County commissioners adopted a measure that will increase
the minimum wage in suburban Cook County to $13/hour by 2020. That is a gradual rise
from current $8.25/hr. that our lowest paid residents now earn.
I would ask that given the benefit of a higher minimum wage our community should not
opt out under home rule of this Cook County measure.
Consider this
According to the BLS about half of the federal minimum wage earners are now over 25
years old. So these are not teenagers just trying out the labor market. Many workers are
relying on the minimum wage to support themselves and their families.
Could any of us here possibly survive on $8.25/hour?
Also there is no strong evidence that raising the minimum wage hurts businesses. We
have many natural experiments that confirms that raising the minimum wage actually
helps employment and businesses.
For example, where one state raises the minimum wage and the border state does not, in
the state that raised the minimum wage their unemployment declined and the economy
actually did better.
And right now we have that scenario with the City going to $13/hr and the rest at $8.25/hr.
Twenty years ago I would have agreed that raising the minimum wage would not have
been a good idea. But today with 'secular stagnation', that is the economy is slow with
plenty of supply side capacity, a demand side stimulus right now such a boost in wages
would help our community.
Finally raising the minimum wage would
·
Give
our residents more spending power that would boost our local businesses.
·
Support
our residents that do rely on the minimum wage.
·
It
would give a demand side boost to our community versus the supply side stimulus
we have always relied upon.
Once again I would ask that the board not opt out under home rule, of the gradual rise of
the minimum wage to $13/hour by 2020.
Thank you President Hayes and Board members
President Hayes acknowledged my opinion, but said that the board will consult with local
businesses before deciding action. As usual the businesses will get preference over
resident's needs.
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